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This product is based on the OVATION model and provides a 30 to 90 minute forecast of the location and intensity of the aurora. The forecast lead time is the time it takes for the solar wind to travel from the L1 observation point to Earth.
This page provides a prediction of the aurora’s visibility tonight and tomorrow night in the charts below. The animations further down show what the aurora’s been up to over the last 24 hours and estimates what the next 30 minutes will be like.
This is a prediction of the intensity and location of the aurora borealis tonight and tomorrow night over North America. It also shows a 'viewline' that represents the southern-most locations from which you may see the aurora on the northern horizon.
R1 (Minor) Radio Blackout Impacts. HF Radio: Weak or minor degradation of HF radio communication on sunlit side, occasional loss of radio contact. Navigation: Low-frequency navigation signals degraded for brief intervals. More about the NOAA Space Weather Scales.
NOAA updates the Geomagnetic Forecast daily at 22:05 UTC. The data: When converted between time zones, the forecast may overlay more or less than 3 days. The current forecast is highlighted in blue.
Below you'll find the daily maximum expected global geomagnetic conditions (Kp) for the coming 27 days. This is the fastest way to quickly find out what kind of geomagnetic conditions are to be expected over the next 27 days. These predictions are updated weekly by the NOAA SWPC.
The Space Weather Prediction Center is pleased to announce the operational release of improved 30 minute auroral prediction maps beginning October 28th. These maps are based on the OVATION-2013 model, which has an expanded range of geomagnetic activity coverage.
When space weather activity increases and more frequent and larger storms and substorms occur, the aurora extends equatorward. During large events, the aurora can be observed as far south as the US, Europe, and Asia. During very large events, the aurora can be observed even farther from the poles.
NOAA Aurora 30-Minute Forecast. Earth aurora map updated every 30 minutes with description and links to additional information. Choose the Northern Hemisphere or Southern Hemisphere and play the animation on the map to predict the likelihood of aurora at different latitudes.
Check out the NOAA Weather Forecast for the area to make sure it isn’t too cloudy. And don’t forget to check out the moon phases before you go. A full moon makes it much more difficult to see an aurora because the background night sky will be brighter.